Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 54.9%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 58.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 59.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Miller
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Miller
Draisaitl
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
4
Miller
Draisaitl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
52.4% (974)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
59.5% (373)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
61.0% (123)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Miller
Draisaitl
Home
56.1% (440)
54.5% (778)
Away
53.8% (446)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Miller
Draisaitl
P1
52.3%
54.6%
P2
54.7%
56.1%
P3
57.2%
53.3%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |