Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.1%). Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 52.6% vs Paul 51.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 64.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 53.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Miller
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Miller
Paul
Last 8: Miller 4-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
4
Miller
Paul
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (432)
56.2% (274)
-1.3%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
52.9% (17)
-29.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (81)
43.4% (129)
+4.7%
On power play, Paul has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Miller is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Miller shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Miller
Paul
Home
55.4% (294)
52.3% (235)
Away
50.0% (232)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Miller
Paul
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
51.7%
53.8%
P3
60.5%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |