Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Paul 52.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 80.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 51.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 61.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Miller
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Miller
Paul
Last 10: Miller 8-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
9
2
Miller
Paul
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
6
Miller
Paul
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Miller
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
52.5% (3,796)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
56.5% (480)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
46.7% (574)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Miller
Paul
Home
55.9% (4,578)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Miller
Paul
P1
54.7%
53.9%
P2
55.6%
51.0%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
62.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |