Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Paul 50.0% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 87.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 67.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 73.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Miller
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Miller
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Paul
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Miller
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
48.8% (666)
+9.4%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
53.8% (65)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
60.0% (55)
-1.1%
On even strength, Miller has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Miller
Paul
Home
59.1% (558)
49.7% (348)
Away
57.3% (520)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Miller
Paul
P1
60.7%
51.0%
P2
57.5%
47.4%
P3
56.1%
51.5%
OT
73.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |