Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Paul 53.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 67.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 73.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 69.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Miller
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Miller
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
53.1% (710)
+3.2%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
57.3% (199)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
58.0% (69)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Miller
Paul
Home
58.6% (734)
56.0% (466)
Away
54.1% (727)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Miller
Paul
P1
57.1%
57.2%
P2
57.0%
54.9%
P3
54.7%
51.5%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |