Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Paul 53.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 58.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Miller
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Miller
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Miller
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Miller
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
53.2% (327)
+8.3%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
61.4% (57)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
50.0% (32)
-2.3%
On even strength, Miller has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Miller
Paul
Home
62.1% (372)
54.6% (183)
Away
59.7% (355)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Miller
Paul
P1
58.9%
56.3%
P2
63.9%
54.8%
P3
59.8%
52.4%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
63.6%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |