Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.7% vs Thomas 52.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 52.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 58.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Miller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Miller
Thomas
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Miller
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Miller
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
61.9% (459)
50.1% (539)
+11.8%
Power Play
66.0% (103)
64.0% (86)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
54.0% (100)
-7.8%
On even strength, Miller has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Miller is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Miller shoots left. Thomas is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Miller
Thomas
Home
62.5% (280)
52.0% (373)
Away
60.2% (334)
52.6% (352)
By Period
Miller
Thomas
P1
59.2%
50.0%
P2
65.6%
55.3%
P3
59.1%
50.9%
OT
54.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
63.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
61.2%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |