Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Thomas 52.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 79.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 79.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 78.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Miller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Miller
Thomas
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
5
Miller
Thomas
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
12
Miller
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
Thomas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
53.2% (1,166)
+3.1%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
56.9% (262)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
48.4% (221)
-1.0%
On power play, Miller has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Miller
Thomas
Home
58.6% (734)
51.6% (830)
Away
54.1% (727)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Miller
Thomas
P1
57.1%
52.7%
P2
57.0%
55.6%
P3
54.7%
50.6%
OT
62.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |