Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Thomas 49.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 66.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 66.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 51.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Miller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Miller
Thomas
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Miller
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
1
Miller
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Miller
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
49.0% (910)
+6.5%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
53.5% (142)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
53.3% (75)
-7.5%
On power play, Miller has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Miller
Thomas
Home
53.5% (578)
47.3% (514)
Away
54.7% (655)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Miller
Thomas
P1
58.3%
50.4%
P2
53.5%
47.5%
P3
50.1%
51.4%
OT
70.6%
61.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |