Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Thomas 51.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 39-34 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 64.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 64.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 70.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Miller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
39
(73 meetings)
34
39
Miller
Thomas
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
13
15
Miller
Thomas
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
11
16
Miller
Thomas
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
10
8
Miller
Thomas
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
51.1% (5,350)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
55.8% (921)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
49.9% (691)
-1.7%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Miller
Thomas
Home
55.9% (4,578)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Miller
Thomas
P1
54.7%
50.6%
P2
55.6%
52.9%
P3
54.0%
50.8%
OT
62.3%
59.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |