Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Thomas 52.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 56.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 68.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 56.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Miller
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Miller
Thomas
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
3
Miller
Thomas
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Miller
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
53.6% (924)
+2.1%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
55.2% (181)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
44.0% (116)
+3.2%
On power play, Miller has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Miller
Thomas
Home
56.1% (440)
53.6% (606)
Away
53.8% (446)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Miller
Thomas
P1
52.3%
48.2%
P2
54.7%
55.3%
P3
57.2%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 23, 2023 | OT | 02:45 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |