J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 58.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 65.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Miller 3-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (618)
52.1% (351)
+6.3%
Power Play
69.1% (55)
57.1% (14)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
57.8% (45)
35.9% (39)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Miller is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Miller shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.7% (390)
50.0% (198)
Away
59.8% (328)
51.5% (206)
By Period
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
59.5%
52.1%
P2
61.6%
48.8%
P3
56.4%
50.4%
OT
46.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
64.8%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |