J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 25 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 39-37 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
39
(76 meetings)
37
39
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
16
9
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
11
16
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
10
14
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
44.9% (8,756)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
50.7% (839)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
37.9% (879)
+10.3%
On even strength, Miller has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.9% (4,578)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.7%
45.1%
P2
55.6%
43.9%
P3
54.0%
45.3%
OT
62.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |