J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 90.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 79.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 87.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Miller 5-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
0
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
51.0% (408)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
0.0% (6)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
35.9% (78)
+11.5%
On power play, Miller has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
58.6% (734)
50.8% (258)
Away
54.1% (727)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.1%
51.6%
P2
57.0%
45.2%
P3
54.7%
47.6%
OT
62.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |