J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 53.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
4
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
5
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
50.3% (479)
+7.9%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
50.0% (28)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
30.0% (50)
+28.9%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
59.1% (558)
48.9% (270)
Away
57.3% (520)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
60.7%
48.7%
P2
57.5%
50.0%
P3
56.1%
47.3%
OT
73.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
60.8%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |