J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

J.T. Miller holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Miller 54.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+9.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Miller 86.7%
Defensive zone Miller 60.0%
Neutral zone Miller 75.5%
Result J.T. Miller favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Miller Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 3 (9 meetings)
6
3
Miller Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Miller 6-3 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Miller Nugent-Hopkins
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
45.4% (527)
+10.3%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
41.2% (17)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
44.9% (138)
+2.3%
On power play, Miller has a +19.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.1% (440)
46.1% (336)
Away
53.8% (446)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.3%
49.1%
P2
54.7%
45.3%
P3
57.2%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
39.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%
61.5%
55.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
45.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 23, 2022 3 11:47 Offensive J.T. Miller
Dec 23, 2022 2 09:33 Defensive J.T. Miller
Dec 23, 2022 1 14:32 Defensive J.T. Miller
Dec 23, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 12, 2022 3 13:41 Neutral J.T. Miller
Oct 12, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 12, 2022 2 09:26 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 12, 2022 1 08:26 Offensive J.T. Miller
Oct 12, 2022 1 07:44 Defensive J.T. Miller