J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 86.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 60.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 75.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Miller 6-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
45.4% (527)
+10.3%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
41.2% (17)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
44.9% (138)
+2.3%
On power play, Miller has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.1% (440)
46.1% (336)
Away
53.8% (446)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.3%
49.1%
P2
54.7%
45.3%
P3
57.2%
42.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |