J.T. Miller vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 52.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
3
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (432)
46.7% (137)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (81)
39.1% (23)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Miller is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Miller shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.4% (294)
53.9% (89)
Away
50.0% (232)
35.2% (71)
By Period
Miller
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.5%
50.9%
P2
51.7%
36.7%
P3
60.5%
48.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 15, 2021 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:33 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:33 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |