Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 62.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Miller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Miller
Monahan
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Miller
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
51.5% (641)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
62.8% (129)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
33.3% (9)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Miller
Monahan
Home
53.5% (578)
53.9% (362)
Away
54.7% (655)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Miller
Monahan
P1
58.3%
48.0%
P2
53.5%
57.0%
P3
50.1%
54.1%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.1%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |