Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Monahan 51.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 32-29 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 56.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Miller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
29
(61 meetings)
32
29
Miller
Monahan
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
11
8
Miller
Monahan
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
12
11
Miller
Monahan
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
10
Miller
Monahan
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
51.1% (11,356)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
53.7% (2,580)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
46.0% (766)
+2.2%
On power play, Miller has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Miller
Monahan
Home
55.9% (4,578)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Miller
Monahan
P1
54.7%
50.9%
P2
55.6%
51.7%
P3
54.0%
51.0%
OT
62.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |