Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 69.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 64.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Miller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Miller
Monahan
Last 6: Miller 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Miller
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Miller
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
53.2% (823)
+8.3%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
55.3% (159)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
48.4% (95)
-0.7%
On power play, Miller has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Miller
Monahan
Home
62.1% (372)
54.6% (529)
Away
59.7% (355)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Miller
Monahan
P1
58.9%
49.0%
P2
63.9%
55.4%
P3
59.8%
53.6%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
63.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |