Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 53.9%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Miller
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Miller
Monahan
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
Miller
Monahan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Miller
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
57.1% (871)
-0.8%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
53.1% (262)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
44.6% (139)
+2.8%
On power play, Miller has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Miller
Monahan
Home
58.6% (734)
55.3% (644)
Away
54.1% (727)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Miller
Monahan
P1
57.1%
53.9%
P2
57.0%
55.3%
P3
54.7%
54.4%
OT
62.5%
76.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |