Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Aho 53.8% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 54.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 73.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 57.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Miller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Miller
Aho
Last 5: Miller 3-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
51.2% (785)
+5.1%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
63.8% (213)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
57.9% (57)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Miller
Aho
Home
58.6% (734)
54.9% (548)
Away
54.1% (727)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Miller
Aho
P1
57.1%
52.8%
P2
57.0%
58.9%
P3
54.7%
50.6%
OT
62.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |