Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Aho 54.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 53.1%
Defensive zone
Miller 73.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 55.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Miller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Miller
Aho
Last 8: Miller 4-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Miller
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
54.5% (870)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
62.4% (266)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
37.1% (62)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Miller
Aho
Home
59.1% (558)
53.9% (603)
Away
57.3% (520)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Miller
Aho
P1
60.7%
54.1%
P2
57.5%
55.0%
P3
56.1%
57.4%
OT
73.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |