Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Aho 50.0% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 85.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 95.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 91.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 90.5%
90.5%
9.5%
Miller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Miller
Aho
Last 10: Miller 9-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
5
0
Miller
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
49.9% (851)
+11.6%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
53.5% (144)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
43.3% (60)
+4.4%
On power play, Miller has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Miller
Aho
Home
62.1% (372)
53.2% (554)
Away
59.7% (355)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Miller
Aho
P1
58.9%
49.1%
P2
63.9%
50.8%
P3
59.8%
49.7%
OT
60.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
63.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |