Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Aho 51.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 28-11 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 74.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 90.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 84.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Miller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
11
(39 meetings)
28
11
Miller
Aho
Last 10: Miller 9-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
6
4
Miller
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
16
4
Miller
Aho
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
6
3
Miller
Aho
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
50.1% (6,619)
+5.1%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
58.9% (1,310)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
46.3% (464)
+1.9%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Miller
Aho
Home
55.9% (4,578)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Miller
Aho
P1
54.7%
51.1%
P2
55.6%
52.0%
P3
54.0%
50.7%
OT
62.3%
48.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |