Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Novak 45.6% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 77.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 89.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 80.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Miller
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Miller
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
43.8% (384)
+11.9%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
58.8% (17)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
100.0% (1)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Miller
Novak
Home
56.1% (440)
46.5% (202)
Away
53.8% (446)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Miller
Novak
P1
52.3%
49.2%
P2
54.7%
44.2%
P3
57.2%
40.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |