Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Novak 45.0% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 63.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 55.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 61.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Miller
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Miller
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Miller
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
42.9% (198)
+15.3%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
40.9% (22)
+17.3%
On power play, Miller has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Miller
Novak
Home
59.1% (558)
40.9% (110)
Away
57.3% (520)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Miller
Novak
P1
60.7%
39.1%
P2
57.5%
43.9%
P3
56.1%
44.9%
OT
73.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
58.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |