Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Novak 43.4% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 70.2%
Defensive zone
Novak 62.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 66.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Miller
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Miller
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Miller
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Miller
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
41.4% (379)
+20.1%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
46.9% (32)
+18.7%
On even strength, Miller has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Miller
Novak
Home
62.1% (372)
42.6% (195)
Away
59.7% (355)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Miller
Novak
P1
58.9%
42.4%
P2
63.9%
39.2%
P3
59.8%
44.7%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |