Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Zegras 42.6% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 57.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 64.9%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Miller
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Miller
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Miller
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
41.1% (559)
+14.6%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
50.0% (12)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
50.0% (2)
-2.8%
On even strength, Miller has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Miller
Zegras
Home
56.1% (440)
45.7% (247)
Away
53.8% (446)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Miller
Zegras
P1
52.3%
45.5%
P2
54.7%
36.8%
P3
57.2%
41.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |