Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Zegras 41.3% (+21.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 51.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zegras 61.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Miller
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Miller
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Miller
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
36.5% (156)
+21.7%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
40.7% (27)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
0.0% (3)
+58.9%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +58.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Miller
Zegras
Home
59.1% (558)
38.9% (113)
Away
57.3% (520)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Miller
Zegras
P1
60.7%
40.0%
P2
57.5%
38.1%
P3
56.1%
31.6%
OT
73.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |