Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Zegras 39.2% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 86.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 98.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 94.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Miller
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Miller
Zegras
Last 10: Miller 8-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Miller
Zegras
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
0
Miller
Zegras
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
3
Miller
Zegras
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
38.6% (1,669)
+16.6%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
38.5% (148)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
28.6% (7)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Miller
Zegras
Home
55.9% (4,578)
39.9% (882)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Miller
Zegras
P1
54.7%
40.2%
P2
55.6%
38.0%
P3
54.0%
37.7%
OT
62.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |