Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +30.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Zegras 35.4% (+30.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 88.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 97.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 96.9%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 96.0%
96.0%
4.0%
Miller
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Miller
Zegras
Last 6: Miller 6-0 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
29.6% (230)
+31.9%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
32.1% (56)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
100.0% (1)
-52.3%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Miller
Zegras
Home
62.1% (372)
30.6% (147)
Away
59.7% (355)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Miller
Zegras
P1
58.9%
33.0%
P2
63.9%
31.7%
P3
59.8%
25.6%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.6%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 04:23 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |