Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Duchene 55.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.9%
Defensive zone
Duchene 56.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Drury
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Drury
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Drury
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Drury
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
56.5% (566)
-1.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
61.3% (62)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
22.2% (9)
+49.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +49.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Drury
Duchene
Home
56.7% (358)
56.6% (318)
Away
53.6% (306)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Drury
Duchene
P1
57.3%
57.2%
P2
57.6%
55.1%
P3
51.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jack Drury |