Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Duchene 51.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 89.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 84.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Drury
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Drury
Duchene
Last 10: Drury 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Drury
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
51.2% (324)
+10.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.4% (53)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
16.7% (6)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Drury
Duchene
Home
59.2% (407)
51.6% (182)
Away
58.1% (427)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Drury
Duchene
P1
59.0%
49.6%
P2
57.7%
56.2%
P3
59.1%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |