Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 68.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 59.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Drury
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Drury
Duchene
Last 10: Drury 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Drury
Duchene
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
5
1
Drury
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
53.9% (10,396)
+4.1%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
56.9% (1,665)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
49.1% (468)
+3.0%
On even strength, Drury has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Drury
Duchene
Home
58.3% (1,212)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Drury
Duchene
P1
56.0%
54.5%
P2
58.6%
54.5%
P3
57.0%
53.4%
OT
62.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Jack Drury |