Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 54.0%
Defensive zone
Drury 75.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 66.0%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Drury
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Drury
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
53.0% (723)
+4.9%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
49.5% (101)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
43.8% (16)
+9.0%
On power play, Drury has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Drury
Duchene
Home
59.3% (364)
54.9% (408)
Away
56.3% (382)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Drury
Duchene
P1
53.9%
52.5%
P2
60.5%
51.7%
P3
58.3%
53.6%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Jack Drury |