Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs McCarron 52.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 60.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 85.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 62.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Drury
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Drury
McCarron
Last 6: Drury 2-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Drury
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Drury
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
54.5% (618)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
42.1% (19)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
35.3% (34)
+36.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Drury
McCarron
Home
56.7% (358)
52.2% (339)
Away
53.6% (306)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Drury
McCarron
P1
57.3%
53.5%
P2
57.6%
50.6%
P3
51.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jack Drury |