Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs McCarron 54.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 66.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 80.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 59.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Drury
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Drury
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Drury
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
54.2% (756)
+3.7%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
55.6% (9)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
55.1% (158)
-2.3%
On power play, Drury has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Drury is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Drury shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Drury
McCarron
Home
59.3% (364)
54.6% (445)
Away
56.3% (382)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Drury
McCarron
P1
53.9%
53.6%
P2
60.5%
55.6%
P3
58.3%
53.7%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |