Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs McCarron 52.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 59.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 86.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 73.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Drury
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Drury
McCarron
Last 8: Drury 3-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Drury
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
53.1% (672)
+8.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
18.2% (11)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
53.7% (205)
-4.7%
On power play, Drury has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Drury
McCarron
Home
59.2% (407)
52.8% (477)
Away
58.1% (427)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Drury
McCarron
P1
59.0%
56.5%
P2
57.7%
53.2%
P3
59.1%
49.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |