Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 51.8% vs Frost 46.2% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 52.8%
Defensive zone
Frost 64.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 57.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Drury
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Drury
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Drury
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (114)
45.6% (833)
+8.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
46.0% (100)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
55.6% (18)
-55.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Drury is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Drury shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Drury
Frost
Home
50.0% (68)
47.0% (440)
Away
56.9% (58)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Drury
Frost
P1
39.5%
42.5%
P2
57.1%
47.9%
P3
60.4%
46.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |