Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Frost 50.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 90.1%
Defensive zone
Frost 63.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 74.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Drury
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Drury
Frost
Last 10: Drury 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Drury
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
2
Drury
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
2
3
Drury
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
49.4% (3,598)
+8.6%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
55.5% (625)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
52.8% (36)
-0.7%
On even strength, Drury has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Drury
Frost
Home
58.3% (1,212)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Drury
Frost
P1
56.0%
50.8%
P2
58.6%
51.1%
P3
57.0%
48.5%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |