Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Frost 49.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 76.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 77.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 78.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Drury
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Drury
Frost
Last 5: Drury 1-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Drury
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Drury
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
48.6% (704)
+6.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
55.7% (115)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
25.0% (4)
+46.4%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Drury
Frost
Home
56.7% (358)
49.9% (399)
Away
53.6% (306)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Drury
Frost
P1
57.3%
51.2%
P2
57.6%
53.9%
P3
51.1%
42.7%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |