Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Frost 51.1% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 77.8%
Defensive zone
Drury 71.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Drury
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Drury
Frost
Last 10: Drury 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Drury
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
50.3% (825)
+7.6%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
54.9% (204)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
50.0% (4)
+2.8%
On power play, Drury has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Drury
Frost
Home
59.3% (364)
50.7% (489)
Away
56.3% (382)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Drury
Frost
P1
53.9%
53.6%
P2
60.5%
47.8%
P3
58.3%
52.0%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:29 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |