Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Backlund 49.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 77.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 87.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Eichel
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Eichel
Backlund
Last 10: Eichel 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Eichel
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
6
1
Eichel
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
50.1% (891)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
53.1% (64)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
47.8% (278)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Eichel
Backlund
Home
47.7% (509)
48.1% (580)
Away
48.1% (499)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Eichel
Backlund
P1
49.5%
45.1%
P2
48.5%
54.7%
P3
46.8%
49.0%
OT
37.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |