Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 35 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Backlund 49.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 63-50 in 113 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 82.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 57.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 68.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Eichel
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
63
(113 meetings)
50
63
Eichel
Backlund
Last 10: Eichel 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
20
Eichel
Backlund
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
12
23
Eichel
Backlund
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
24
20
Eichel
Backlund
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
49.7% (13,410)
-5.0%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
51.6% (1,336)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
44.0% (2,446)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Eichel
Backlund
Home
45.7% (4,899)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Eichel
Backlund
P1
45.4%
48.5%
P2
45.8%
50.3%
P3
44.2%
48.4%
OT
44.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
45.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |