Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Backlund 50.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 79.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 52.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 62.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Eichel
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Eichel
Backlund
Last 10: Eichel 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Eichel
Backlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
Eichel
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
3
Eichel
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
51.0% (1,205)
-4.6%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
59.3% (108)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
42.3% (234)
-0.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Eichel
Backlund
Home
44.0% (457)
51.2% (782)
Away
47.0% (451)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Eichel
Backlund
P1
45.1%
51.5%
P2
46.5%
49.8%
P3
45.3%
49.9%
OT
28.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
41.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |