Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Backlund 50.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 65.2%
Defensive zone
Eichel 69.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 69.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Eichel
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
18
(29 meetings)
11
18
Eichel
Backlund
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
4
Eichel
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
5
Eichel
Backlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
9
Eichel
Backlund
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
51.9% (1,083)
-6.4%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
51.7% (120)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
44.3% (183)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Eichel
Backlund
Home
46.1% (388)
51.9% (673)
Away
44.4% (405)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Eichel
Backlund
P1
46.8%
51.4%
P2
43.4%
50.5%
P3
45.4%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:53 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 23, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |