Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Backlund 50.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 72.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 65.9%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Eichel
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eichel
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Eichel
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
51.5% (983)
-5.1%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
49.4% (87)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
45.3% (159)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Eichel is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Eichel shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Eichel
Backlund
Home
46.2% (169)
51.6% (653)
Away
50.5% (210)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Eichel
Backlund
P1
39.8%
50.0%
P2
49.6%
49.8%
P3
56.2%
51.7%
OT
28.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |