Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Cates 45.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 55.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 52.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 50.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Eichel
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eichel
Cates
Last 5: Eichel 3-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
1
Eichel
Cates
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Eichel
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
44.3% (271)
+2.1%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
77.8% (18)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
31.7% (41)
+10.5%
On power play, Cates has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Eichel
Cates
Home
44.0% (457)
52.0% (148)
Away
47.0% (451)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Eichel
Cates
P1
45.1%
42.7%
P2
46.5%
42.9%
P3
45.3%
48.5%
Final 5 min
41.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Noah Cates |