Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Cates 45.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 55.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 70.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 66.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Eichel
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Eichel
Cates
Last 7: Eichel 1-6 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
3
Eichel
Cates
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Eichel
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
46.7% (912)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
33.9% (56)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
35.0% (137)
+4.7%
On power play, Eichel has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Eichel
Cates
Home
46.5% (606)
46.1% (521)
Away
44.8% (648)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Eichel
Cates
P1
47.2%
48.0%
P2
46.9%
42.3%
P3
42.7%
44.3%
OT
42.9%
31.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Noah Cates |